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Red132
13541.5
649841.1
155531.4
Blue116
7142.9
82949.8
23445.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96160050200250132116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#18
41.52.3
39.742.0
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
blue by 8.3
829
#12
49.81.7
48.546.8
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
Second
6498
#13
41.12.3
30.032.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
blue by 4.7
234
#22
45.81.7
53.151.4
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
Third
1555
#28
31.42.3
28.030.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
blue by 11.5
71
#8
42.91.7
40.538.8
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed