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Qual 162023 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red135
348746.8
150153.7
745437.5
Blue149
349451.0
695637.2
427251.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812850100150200135149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#4
53.70.5
48.8→49.2
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
red by 1.8
4272
#2
51.91.8
46.6→48.4
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Second
3487
#7
46.80.5
43.4→43.8
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
blue by 4.3
3494
#11
51.01.8
44.7→46.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
Third
7454
#29
37.50.5
37.5→38.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
red by 0.3
6956
#17
37.21.8
30.3→32.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsEarned