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Red134
32830.9
23445.8
86847.2
Blue114
394730.8
548449.4
155531.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811050100150200134114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#15
47.20.6
44.144.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
blue by 2.2
49.40.5
46.547.0
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Second
234
#22
45.80.6
51.451.9
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
red by 14.3
1555
#28
31.40.5
30.330.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Third
328
#20
30.90.6
30.030.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
red by 0.1
3947
#31
30.80.5
29.630.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned