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Red119
765743.0
492639.4
150153.7
Blue106
317644.6
13541.5
518842.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138137110120130150160170119106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.7
49.248.5
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
red by 9.1
3176
#19
44.61.6
43.141.5
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
Second
7657
#26
43.00.7
43.342.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
red by 0.9
5188
#23
42.11.6
44.442.9
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
Third
4926
#27
39.40.7
39.538.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
blue by 2.1
135
#18
41.51.6
42.040.4
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned