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Red98
102449.8
314740.9
811631.0
Blue151
745437.5
427251.9
761750.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116140608010016018020098151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#21
49.80.9
46.845.9
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
blue by 2.1
51.91.5
48.449.9
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Second
3147
#24
40.90.9
36.135.2
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
blue by 9.7
50.61.5
42.143.6
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Third
8116
#25
31.00.9
29.128.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End6.2
blue by 6.6
7454
#29
37.51.5
38.039.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned