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Red110
32830.9
155531.4
317644.6
Blue118
86847.2
174143.9
745437.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106144050200250110118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#19
44.60.1
41.741.8
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
blue by 2.6
868
#15
47.20.8
45.344.6
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Second
1555
#28
31.40.1
29.229.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
blue by 12.5
1741
#16
43.90.8
44.743.9
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
Third
328
#20
30.90.1
33.033.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
blue by 6.6
7454
#29
37.50.8
41.240.4
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned