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Red154
150153.7
29251.4
649841.1
Blue147
492639.4
46161.2
394053.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135155050100200250154147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.7
47.949.6
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
blue by 7.5
461
#10
61.20.1
59.059.0
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
Second
292
#9
51.41.7
50.251.9
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
blue by 2.3
3940
#14
53.70.1
52.352.2
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End6.6
Third
6498
#13
41.11.7
34.636.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 1.7
4926
#27
39.40.1
36.236.1
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed