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Red149
761750.6
501055.4
314740.9
Blue93
695637.2
13541.5
394730.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451085020014993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.8
50.050.8
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
red by 13.9
135
#18
41.50.8
38.838.0
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Second
50.60.8
45.846.6
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
red by 13.4
6956
#17
37.20.8
35.834.9
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Third
3147
#24
40.90.8
35.936.7
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 10.1
3947
#31
30.80.8
31.030.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed