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Red116
174143.9
649841.1
811631.0
Blue102
548449.4
492639.4
745437.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213450100150200250116102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#16
43.90.2
43.944.1
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
blue by 5.5
49.42.1
46.344.3
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Second
6498
#13
41.10.2
36.336.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
red by 1.7
4926
#27
39.42.1
36.134.1
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
Third
8116
#25
31.00.2
27.427.6
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End6.2
blue by 6.6
7454
#29
37.52.1
40.438.4
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned