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Red138
164635.6
761750.6
348746.8
Blue139
150153.7
86847.2
427251.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015050100200250138139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.60.2
46.646.8
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
blue by 3.1
53.70.1
49.649.6
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
Second
46.80.2
45.345.6
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
blue by 5.1
51.90.1
47.948.0
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Third
1646
#30
35.60.2
32.732.9
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 11.6
868
#15
47.20.1
44.644.6
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned