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Red111
394730.8
23445.8
649841.1
Blue147
492639.4
348746.8
13541.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121126050100150200250300350111147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#22
45.80.2
53.052.8
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
blue by 1.0
46.80.9
42.042.9
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
Second
6498
#13
41.10.2
31.531.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
blue by 0.4
135
#18
41.50.9
39.340.2
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
3947
#31
30.80.2
29.729.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
blue by 8.6
4926
#27
39.40.9
36.637.6
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned