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Red127
155531.4
150153.7
82949.8
Blue119
86847.2
314740.9
501055.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13013750100150200250127119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.3
47.848.1
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
blue by 1.8
55.40.6
44.443.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
829
#12
49.80.3
47.848.1
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
red by 2.6
868
#15
47.20.6
45.144.5
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Third
1555
#28
31.40.3
27.327.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
blue by 9.5
3147
#24
40.90.6
37.937.3
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned