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Red127
745761.6
672124.2
29251.4
Blue157
427251.9
174143.9
7142.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361290100200300400500127157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.0
54.554.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 9.7
51.92.3
43.245.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Second
292
#9
51.40.0
48.748.7
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
red by 7.5
1741
#16
43.92.3
40.743.0
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
Third
6721
#32
24.20.0
23.723.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1
blue by 18.7
71
#8
42.92.3
38.240.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsMissed