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Red143
394053.7
13541.5
102449.8
Blue159
501055.4
7142.9
29251.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14515580100120180200220240143159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#14
53.71.3
52.251.0
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End6.6
blue by 1.7
55.40.7
50.851.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
1024
#21
49.81.3
49.548.2
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
blue by 1.6
292
#9
51.40.7
51.952.5
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
Third
135
#18
41.51.3
38.036.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
blue by 1.4
71
#8
42.90.7
41.642.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned