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Red136
314740.9
82949.8
548449.4
Blue116
745437.5
349451.0
23445.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13714450100200250136116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#12
49.80.4
48.749.1
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
blue by 1.2
3494
#11
51.01.5
47.746.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
Second
49.40.4
44.344.7
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
red by 3.6
234
#22
45.81.5
49.648.0
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
Third
3147
#24
40.90.4
36.737.1
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 3.4
7454
#29
37.51.5
38.436.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned