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Red119
174143.9
314740.9
23445.8
Blue161
150153.7
501055.4
102449.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13216050100200250119161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#22
45.80.6
48.047.5
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
blue by 9.7
55.40.6
51.452.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
1741
#16
43.90.6
44.143.6
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
blue by 9.8
53.70.6
49.650.2
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
Third
3147
#24
40.90.6
37.136.6
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
blue by 8.9
1024
#21
49.80.6
48.248.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsMissed93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned