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Red146
761750.6
13541.5
86847.2
Blue166
745761.6
649841.1
548449.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13415750100200250146166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.2
45.746.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
blue by 11.0
61.61.1
59.460.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
Second
868
#15
47.21.2
44.645.8
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
blue by 2.2
49.41.1
46.147.2
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Third
135
#18
41.51.2
37.939.1
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 0.4
6498
#13
41.11.1
38.739.8
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned