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Red111
745437.5
82949.8
695637.2
Blue130
811631.0
518842.1
492639.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310550150200111130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#12
49.80.7
48.547.8
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
red by 7.8
5188
#23
42.11.5
37.939.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
Second
7454
#29
37.50.7
36.836.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
blue by 1.9
4926
#27
39.41.5
34.836.4
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
Third
6956
#17
37.20.7
36.135.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
red by 6.3
8116
#25
31.01.5
29.230.7
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned