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Red163
314740.9
427251.9
46161.2
Blue90
317644.6
174143.9
164635.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155127608010014018020022016390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#10
61.21.4
58.960.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
red by 16.5
3176
#19
44.62.2
44.242.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
Second
51.91.4
50.952.3
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
red by 8.0
1741
#16
43.92.2
43.641.4
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
Third
3147
#24
40.91.4
36.638.0
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 5.3
1646
#30
35.62.2
35.132.9
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed