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Red153
394730.8
349451.0
501055.4
Blue110
765743.0
155531.4
29251.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133110115120125130140145150153110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.8
52.153.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
red by 4.0
292
#9
51.41.0
52.151.0
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
Second
3494
#11
51.01.8
47.349.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
red by 8.0
7657
#26
43.01.0
42.541.5
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
Third
3947
#31
30.81.8
26.628.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
blue by 0.6
1555
#28
31.41.0
31.230.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed