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Red117
427251.9
501055.4
765743.0
Blue154
649841.1
46161.2
349451.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155153120130140150160170180117154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.8
53.952.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
blue by 5.7
461
#10
61.20.3
60.360.5
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
Second
51.91.8
52.350.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
red by 0.9
3494
#11
51.00.3
49.149.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
Third
7657
#26
43.01.8
41.539.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
red by 1.9
6498
#13
41.10.3
39.840.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned