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Red131
164635.6
394730.8
492639.4
Blue140
13541.5
672124.2
150153.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102120050150200131140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#27
39.42.2
36.438.6
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
blue by 14.3
53.71.6
49.651.3
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
Second
1646
#30
35.62.2
32.935.1
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 5.9
135
#18
41.51.6
39.140.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
3947
#31
30.82.2
28.430.6
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
red by 6.6
6721
#32
24.21.6
21.823.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned