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Red153
23445.8
394053.7
518842.1
Blue139
811631.0
86847.2
349451.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441326080100120160180200153139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#14
53.71.3
52.253.5
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End6.6
red by 2.7
3494
#11
51.00.9
49.450.3
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
Second
234
#22
45.81.3
45.646.9
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
blue by 1.5
868
#15
47.20.9
46.147.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Third
5188
#23
42.11.3
40.041.3
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
red by 11.1
8116
#25
31.00.9
30.131.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned