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Qual 632023 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red162
150153.7
745761.6
695637.2
Blue147
317644.6
7142.9
548449.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014080100120180200220162147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#1
61.61.0
60.6→61.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 12.3
5484
#5
49.40.9
48.2→49.1
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Second
1501
#4
53.71.0
51.3→52.2
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
red by 9.1
3176
#19
44.60.9
42.7→43.6
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
Third
6956
#17
37.21.0
36.4→37.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
blue by 5.7
71
#8
42.90.9
43.0→43.8
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned