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Red168
765743.0
761750.6
501055.4
Blue162
427251.9
314740.9
150153.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152152150155160165168162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.4
54.054.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
red by 1.8
53.70.4
53.353.7
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
Second
50.60.4
49.249.6
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
blue by 1.3
51.90.4
51.551.9
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
Third
7657
#26
43.00.4
41.642.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
red by 2.1
3147
#24
40.90.4
40.540.9
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2