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Red165
745761.6
32830.9
46161.2
Blue132
518842.1
29251.4
349451.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16614780100120140180200220165132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.3
62.062.2
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 10.2
292
#9
51.40.2
50.950.8
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
Second
461
#10
61.20.3
61.561.7
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
red by 10.1
3494
#11
51.00.2
50.650.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
Third
328
#20
30.90.3
31.231.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
blue by 11.2
5188
#23
42.10.2
41.641.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5