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Red161
765743.0
761750.6
501055.4
Blue161
82949.8
548449.4
13541.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151148130140160170161161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.4
53.654.0
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
red by 5.6
829
#12
49.80.4
49.549.8
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
Second
50.60.4
48.749.2
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
red by 1.2
49.40.4
49.049.4
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Third
7657
#26
43.00.4
41.141.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
red by 1.5
135
#18
41.50.4
41.141.5
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8