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Red136
86847.2
394053.7
649841.1
Blue171
82949.8
548449.4
13541.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148146130135140150155160165170136171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#14
53.70.1
53.853.7
Auto13.1
Teleop32.8
End6.6
red by 3.9
829
#12
49.80.7
48.749.5
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
Second
868
#15
47.20.1
47.347.2
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
blue by 2.2
49.40.7
48.349.0
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
Third
6498
#13
41.10.1
41.141.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
blue by 0.4
135
#18
41.50.7
40.441.1
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8