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Red156
150153.7
314740.9
427251.9
Blue124
102449.8
695637.2
23445.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151140100120160180200156124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.4
52.352.7
Auto14.5
Teleop30.6
End7.6
red by 3.9
1024
#21
49.80.2
50.049.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
Second
51.90.4
50.550.9
Auto16.0
Teleop28.5
End6.7
red by 6.1
234
#22
45.80.2
46.045.8
Auto12.7
Teleop26.3
End5.9
Third
3147
#24
40.90.4
39.539.9
Auto13.3
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 3.7
6956
#17
37.20.2
37.437.2
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5