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Red160
745761.6
32830.9
46161.2
Blue149
317644.6
174143.9
348746.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16813680100120160180200220160149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.0
61.962.0
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
red by 14.9
46.80.3
46.146.4
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
Second
461
#10
61.20.0
61.461.5
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
red by 16.5
3176
#19
44.60.3
44.044.3
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
Third
328
#20
30.90.0
31.231.2
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
blue by 13.0
1741
#16
43.90.3
43.343.6
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2