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Red157
349451.0
29251.4
518842.1
Blue151
501055.4
761750.6
765743.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148151100200157151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#9
51.40.3
50.750.9
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
blue by 4.0
55.40.2
53.353.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
3494
#11
51.00.3
50.350.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.4
End6.9
red by 0.4
50.60.2
48.548.7
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
Third
5188
#23
42.10.3
41.341.6
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
blue by 0.9
7657
#26
43.00.2
40.941.1
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0