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Red120
394047.4
999025.2
276761.4
Blue152
999524.6
501052.2
349452.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144118050100200250120152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.5
64.362.8
Auto16.3
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 9.0
52.41.3
47.148.3
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Second
47.41.5
50.949.5
Auto11.9
Teleop26.3
End7.9
blue by 4.8
52.21.3
48.950.2
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Third
9990
#14
25.22.5
22.119.6
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
red by 0.7
9995
#18
24.62.1
22.224.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned