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Red86
29247.7
999922.5
155523.8
Blue112
999125.3
172028.4
618143.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8594020406012014016086112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
47.70.1
46.145.9
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
red by 4.5
43.20.2
43.543.7
Auto12.3
Teleop21.6
End9.4
Second
1555
#16
23.80.1
26.025.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End5.7
blue by 4.6
1720
#17
28.40.2
28.528.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.1
End5.8
Third
9999
#22
22.50.2
16.015.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
blue by 2.8
9991
#15
25.30.3
22.422.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed