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Red56
999814.3
4530.2
911912.5
Blue117
999219.5
402862.1
999620.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5098015020056117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#19
30.20.4
30.330.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7
blue by 31.9
62.10.6
63.664.2
Auto19.7
Teleop35.1
End6.2
Second
9998
#21
14.30.7
9.39.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End5.8
blue by 6.0
20.31.0
18.219.2
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End8.7
Third
9119
#12
12.50.4
10.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End5.0
blue by 7.1
19.51.0
21.522.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned