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Red111
394047.4
29247.7
874222.9
Blue112
745745.5
155523.8
276761.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12915204006008001,0001,200111112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
47.70.9
45.945.0
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
blue by 13.6
61.42.4
62.860.3
Auto16.3
Teleop36.0
End8.4
Second
47.40.9
49.548.6
Auto11.9
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 1.9
7457
#10
45.52.4
49.747.3
Auto11.8
Teleop29.3
End3.5
Third
8742
#23
22.90.9
23.822.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.6
blue by 0.9
1555
#16
23.82.4
25.923.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed