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Red99
501052.2
999620.3
999922.5
Blue85
999524.6
4530.2
999722.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77660501001502002509985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.9
50.251.1
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
red by 22.0
45
#19
30.20.0
30.730.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Second
9999
#22
22.51.5
15.817.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
blue by 2.1
9995
#18
24.60.1
24.324.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Third
20.31.5
19.220.7
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End8.7
blue by 2.3
9997
#11
22.60.1
24.324.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed