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Red128
402862.1
745745.5
172028.4
Blue96
695627.9
349452.4
999219.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1619305020025030012896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.8
64.263.3
Auto19.7
Teleop35.1
End6.2
red by 9.7
52.40.3
48.348.1
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Second
7457
#10
45.50.8
47.346.5
Auto11.8
Teleop29.3
End3.5
red by 17.6
6956
#20
27.90.3
28.928.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End4.9
Third
1720
#17
28.40.8
28.727.9
Auto6.8
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 8.9
19.50.4
22.522.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed57%Activation oddsEarned