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Red94
155523.8
150139.9
999620.3
Blue61
874222.9
999025.2
999922.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865201001502009461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.1
38.938.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End7.7
red by 14.7
9990
#14
25.20.3
24.023.6
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Second
1555
#16
23.80.1
23.523.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End5.7
red by 0.9
8742
#23
22.90.2
22.922.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.6
Third
20.30.1
20.720.6
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End8.7
blue by 2.1
9999
#22
22.50.3
17.317.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed