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Red114
999722.6
402862.1
394047.4
Blue90
4530.2
29247.7
999125.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469105020011490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.11.5
63.361.9
Auto19.7
Teleop35.1
End6.2
red by 14.4
292
#13
47.70.8
45.044.2
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Second
47.41.5
48.647.1
Auto11.9
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 17.2
45
#19
30.20.8
30.729.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Third
9997
#11
22.62.5
24.421.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.1
End3.0
blue by 2.6
9991
#15
25.31.4
27.025.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned