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Red102
501052.2
911912.5
172028.4
Blue133
349452.4
276761.4
999814.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97144050200250102133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.1
51.151.2
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
blue by 9.1
61.40.8
60.361.1
Auto16.3
Teleop36.0
End8.4
Second
1720
#17
28.40.1
27.928.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.1
End5.8
blue by 24.0
52.40.8
48.148.9
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Third
9119
#12
12.50.1
11.912.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End5.0
blue by 1.9
9998
#21
14.31.2
13.214.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsEarned