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Red106
999219.5
745745.5
999524.6
Blue123
349452.4
29247.7
999922.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70121050100150200106123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#10
45.50.3
44.745.0
Auto11.8
Teleop29.3
End3.5
blue by 6.9
52.40.3
48.949.1
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Second
9995
#18
24.60.5
23.323.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End4.4
blue by 23.1
292
#13
47.70.3
44.244.5
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Third
19.50.5
19.119.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End6.7
blue by 2.9
9999
#22
22.50.4
17.017.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2