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Red111
29247.7
999722.6
349452.4
Blue84
874222.9
999524.6
155523.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14559010020025011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.41.0
48.447.4
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
red by 27.8
9995
#18
24.61.1
25.026.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End4.4
Second
292
#13
47.71.0
51.650.6
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
red by 23.9
1555
#16
23.80.7
26.026.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End5.7
Third
9997
#11
22.61.7
26.024.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.1
End3.0
blue by 0.3
8742
#23
22.90.7
23.123.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed