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Red65
999922.5
999125.3
695627.9
Blue164
999025.2
501052.2
402862.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40136010020025030035065164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6956
#20
27.90.6
32.131.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End4.9
blue by 34.2
62.12.3
60.262.4
Auto19.7
Teleop35.1
End6.2
Second
9991
#15
25.31.0
22.321.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
blue by 27.0
52.22.3
46.348.6
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Third
9999
#22
22.51.0
19.818.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
blue by 2.8
9990
#14
25.23.8
18.422.2
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned