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Red70
999814.3
745745.5
29247.7
Blue133
4530.2
349452.4
150139.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271258010012014016070133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
47.73.2
50.647.4
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
blue by 4.7
52.40.3
47.447.7
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Second
7457
#10
45.53.2
51.848.6
Auto11.8
Teleop29.3
End3.5
red by 5.6
39.90.3
37.838.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End7.7
Third
9998
#21Sur
14.35.3
15.610.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End5.8
blue by 15.9
45
#19
30.20.3
31.531.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned