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Red120
4530.2
394047.4
618143.2
Blue152
349452.4
999922.5
29247.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811650100150200120152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.3
47.747.4
Auto11.9
Teleop26.3
End7.9
blue by 5.0
52.40.8
50.050.9
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
Second
43.20.3
43.543.2
Auto12.3
Teleop21.6
End9.4
blue by 4.5
292
#13
47.70.8
45.446.2
Auto15.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Third
45
#19
30.20.3
30.530.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7
red by 7.8
9999
#22
22.51.3
18.820.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2