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Red157
276761.4
402862.1
874222.9
Blue134
501052.2
999025.2
150139.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16411550100150200250157134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.3
61.862.0
Auto19.7
Teleop35.1
End6.2
red by 9.9
52.20.4
52.152.5
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
Second
61.40.3
61.061.3
Auto16.3
Teleop36.0
End8.4
red by 21.5
39.90.4
39.840.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End7.7
Third
8742
#23
22.90.3
22.622.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End6.6
blue by 2.3
9990
#14
25.20.6
25.025.6
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0