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Red79
155523.8
999722.6
172028.4
Blue59
999125.3
695627.9
999620.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795701001507959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#17
28.40.1
28.128.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 0.5
6956
#20
27.90.4
28.227.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End4.9
Second
1555
#16
23.80.1
23.523.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.6
End5.7
blue by 1.4
9991
#15
25.30.5
25.825.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.3
End6.3
Third
9997
#11
22.60.2
22.222.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.1
End3.0
red by 2.3
20.30.5
20.920.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End8.7