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Red152
150139.9
999025.2
501052.2
Blue144
618143.2
394047.4
4530.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116137050100200250300152144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.8
51.352.1
Auto12.3
Teleop31.1
End8.8
red by 4.8
47.40.5
47.247.8
Auto11.9
Teleop26.3
End7.9
Second
39.90.8
38.939.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.8
End7.7
blue by 3.3
43.20.5
43.043.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.6
End9.4
Third
9990
#14
25.21.3
23.725.0
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
blue by 5.0
45
#19
30.20.5
30.030.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.9
End8.7