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Red114
448529.3
394050.5
217125.2
Blue137
672122.1
4537.8
7137.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11276204060100120140160180114137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.9
49.850.7
Auto13.9
Teleop28.0
End8.1
red by 12.7
45
#12
37.82.2
29.731.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
Second
4485
#14
29.30.9
28.829.7
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
blue by 8.2
71
#3
37.52.2
31.133.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Third
2171
#25
25.20.9
22.123.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5
red by 3.1
6721
#22
22.12.2
14.816.9
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned