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Red116
155527.3
44733.0
518843.9
Blue127
174139.5
290921.2
82947.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851144060100140160180116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.2
35.737.8
Auto11.1
Teleop23.0
End10.0
blue by 3.9
829
#15
47.81.6
46.548.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
Second
447
#17
33.02.2
27.429.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6
blue by 6.5
39.51.6
37.839.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Third
1555
#24
27.32.2
20.522.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End7.1
red by 6.1
2909
#16
21.21.6
18.720.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned